Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.635960 3.868116 4.117612 4.407516 4.737506 5.104401 5.547453
2025-04-06 3.252352 3.555952 3.899919 4.324366 4.842779 5.467882 6.299790
2025-04-13 2.922772 3.259145 3.655351 4.167467 4.829895 5.686945 6.936828
2025-04-20 2.760010 3.138549 3.602357 4.231986 5.100071 6.321013 8.325476
2025-04-27 2.627277 3.039814 3.563561 4.308035 5.401274 7.081276 10.252967
2025-05-04 2.543897 2.994127 3.586526 4.470123 5.861268 8.237688 13.667818
2025-05-11 2.436034 2.905655 3.541318 4.527730 6.177360 9.290287 18.076444
2025-05-18 2.322315 2.799182 3.459372 4.517669 6.381604 10.238747 24.000050
2025-05-25 2.176974 2.638514 3.285192 4.340265 6.253278 10.435054 28.012081
2025-06-01 2.074373 2.530760 3.179491 4.260936 6.294418 11.072497 37.025245
2025-06-08 1.993911 2.448985 3.105498 4.224861 6.413934 12.002246 56.512296
2025-06-15 1.934241 2.393023 3.065667 4.241657 6.647783 13.454653 129.054816
2025-06-22 1.856942 2.313856 2.994581 4.215296 6.834312 15.169524 NaN
2025-06-29 1.773825 2.221828 2.897180 4.131481 6.878674 16.535658 NaN
2025-07-06 1.684535 2.116231 2.771386 3.981976 6.735494 17.041227 NaN
2025-07-13 1.642420 2.079217 2.753848 4.037281 7.135529 21.164748 NaN
2025-07-20 1.605314 2.047517 2.742411 4.103834 7.604292 27.763586 NaN
2025-07-27 1.583616 2.038056 2.767303 4.249285 8.390308 44.490838 NaN
2025-08-03 1.548106 2.004769 2.748393 4.299758 8.917600 72.239439 NaN
2025-08-10 1.506325 1.959245 2.704501 4.289127 9.237543 123.068144 NaN
2025-08-17 1.446207 1.881744 2.599028 4.126640 8.916883 125.666638 NaN
2025-08-24 1.402482 1.828925 2.534981 4.053547 8.939004 193.472832 NaN
2025-08-31 1.367106 1.788092 2.490082 4.020059 9.119518 622.122046 NaN